Plan Or Fail

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I was driving home from work and a car in front of me went from the right lane to the middle lane, to the left lane and turned, all in the space of twenty meters.  I was quite surprised at how late the person was at understanding that they needed to be in the left lane. A couple of blocks later someone else did the same thing.  Closer to home?  From the left to the right lane and turned but they forced the bus to stop as they weren’t really in the right lane at all when they turned.

Why don’t people driving plan their routes better?

On my drive to work in the morning, there is one section where I don’t change lanes for almost sixty blocks.  It’s the correct lane to be in to avoid the majority of traffic, obey the bus lanes laws and turn at the appropriate moment.  I plan my trip to work, knowing where I want to be and I have plenty of time to follow through with the plan.

I’m kind of like that when driving.  (I’m also a little aggressive and get peeved when someone tries to cut me off because “he’s in a hurry“.  Like we’re all not trying to get to work?)

Plan where you want to be and get yourself lined up early.  It saves time, money and, more importantly, let’s you look around for anything new that might have popped up overnight.

It’s like the planning that you should be doing in IT.  (Yes, I managed to link it back to IT.  I’ll pat myself on the back for you.)  Sure, you may have a target that is a long distance away, but instead of constantly changing lines take a look at what is happening around you to see whether or not your destination is even viable.

For instance, the world is moving to the cloud.  Don’t just take my word for it.  Forbes gathered together some stats from a lot of different companies:

Amazon’s latest quarterly results released two days ago show Amazon Web Services (AWS) attained 43% year-over-year growth …

Wikibon is predicting enterprise cloud spending is growing at a 16% compound annual growth (CAGR) run rate between 2016 and 2026.

Cloud computing spending is growing at 4.5 times the rate of IT spending since 2009 and is expected to grow at better than 6 times the rate of IT spending from 2015 through 2020.

Spending on public cloud computing in Canada will double from $2.3B CAD in 2016 to $5.5 billion CAD in 2020

By 2018, at least half of IT spending will be Cloud-based, reaching 60% of all IT infrastructure, and 60–70% of all Software, Services, and Technology Spending by 2020.

OK, look at that last quote, at least half of IT spending, next year, is going to be cloud-based.  Half.  Did anyone see this last year?  The year before?  Oh, sure, it’s easy to say that this was where it was headed all along, after all, hindsight is twenty-twenty. But let’s get back to the present.  If a company has been going along, pretending that the cloud wasn’t important, that a consolidated data centre was the key to success, and they saw this statistic what would they say?

“Our market is different, we’re not cloud adopters.” Or maybe, and I like this one, “We’re just waiting for a clear winner.”  Or, my personal favourite, “We’re just moving more slowly than everyone else.”  I was watching Canada’s Worst Driver with my family last night.  One of the interesting comments was that the people driving slowly, the ones thinking that they were driving more safely than others?  Yeah, those people are actually more dangerous.

So let’s recap:

  1. Planning is important
  2. You need to have a target in mind
  3. Cloud computing is the target that the world has in mind

Therefore …

I hope I don’t have to spell it out in excruciating detail, but I will.  If you are in IT and you are not planning on how to move to the cloud, then you have planned to fail.  Please pull over to the side of the road and let someone else drive.

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